Friday, June 29, 2007
Aliyev unveils ACG booster
19 June 2007 - Upstream OnLine - Azerbaijan has raised the estimates for reserves in the Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli (ACG) oilfields to 1.2 billion tonnes (8.82 billion barrels) from a previous estimate of 900 million tonnes (6.6 billion barrels), President Ilham Aliyev said today. The ACG fields are the main source of crude for the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline, which will eventually pump more than 1 million barrels per day from Azerbaijan to the Turkish Mediterranean coast. Both ACG and Baku-Ceyhan are operated by BP. Aliyev, addressing a regional summit, gave no explanation for the raised estimate. "If we need to, by 2010, we can produce 65 million tonnes per year (1.3 million bpd) from all of our fields," Reuters quoted Aliyev as saying. "We can pump as much crude as we need to."
GUAM Threatens Russia
June 19, 2007 - Kommersant by Gennady Sysoev - Russia’s current attitude to GUAM may be described so: the policy to counteract this organization it growing into the policy to collapse it. This transformation happened after the price of GUAM’s existence had become considerably higher for Russia: the alliance began turning into a structure that got in the way of Russia’s aspiration to control CIS energy supplies to the West. Moscow felt strong dislike towards GUAM (originally – GUUAM) ever since the alliance’s birth, because its member states were not hiding that they united specifically to restrict Russia’s influence on the post-Soviet space. So, it pushed Russia to taking steps in response. First, Russia asked for membership in the alliance, but received a polite refusal: no one needed a Trojan Horse there. Then, Moscow changed its strategy. To spite GUAM, the Euro-Asian Economic Community (EurAsEC) was founded, uniting Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Armenia, that joined them later. Then Russia took another step towards unhinging GUAM: it initiated accepting Uzbekistan into the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). Nevertheless, it was too early to see all those steps as the purposeful policy for collapsing the alliance. Although Moscow disliked GUAM, it put up with its existence, and even bore the strikes inflicted by it. Thus, Moscow reconciled itself to the fact that for the sake of membership in the new alliance, Uzbekistan left in 1999 the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), to which Russia always attributed strategic significance. Moscow also put up with GUAM members’ unanimously acting in various international organizations (for instance, the OSCE), and taking steps according to EU and U.S. wishes, rather than the Kremlin’s. Last year, however, GUAM underwent a drastic change. First, the alliance renamed itself into the Organization for Democracy and Economic Development. Second, it decided to closely handle the energy security issues, so as to successfully counteract Russia’s oil and natural gas levers of influence. It radically changed the situation for Moscow. Two GUAM member states control the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline, inaugurated in 2006, which became a significant alternative route for supplying Caspian oil to Europe. The Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum natural gas pipeline is going thru Georgia and Azerbaijan. Moreover, the launch of the Odessa-Brody oil pipeline, detouring Russia thru Ukraine’s territory and leading to Poland, is just a matter of time. Thus, GUAM might eventually become a structure thru which the West will gain an alternative to Russia’s access to CIS energy resources. Meanwhile, it will strike a strong blow against the key part of current Moscow’s strategy of strengthening its influence in the world.
Friday, June 22, 2007
Ex-Soviet nations in Baku summit
18 June 2007- BBC News, Baku By Matthew Collin - Leaders from four former Soviet countries eager to reduce Russian influence and forge closer links with the West are meeting in Azerbaijan. The regional organisation is named GUAM and includes Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan and Moldova. Though not an anti-Kremlin alliance, this is seen as an alternative to the Russian-dominated post-Soviet group, the Commonwealth of Independent States. The politically-charged issue of energy will be high on the agenda. Each of the four countries which makes up GUAM has had disagreements with Moscow over the past year. Issues have included large price rises for Russian gas and Moscow's ban on imports of leading Georgian and Moldovan products. Wide variations The leaders of some of the GUAM countries are keen to develop regional co-operation on economic issues like pipelines which take oil and gas to Western markets, bypassing Russia. Three of the four states also have long-running problems with separatist conflicts. Talks will continue at the summit in the Azeri capital, Baku, about the creation of a joint peacekeeping force, which some hope could ultimately be deployed in the volatile breakaway regions. One of the key aims of the organisation is to deepen European integration - another tendency which is not appreciated in Moscow. GUAM calls itself the Organisation for Democracy and Economic Development. But there are wide variations in the standards of democracy in the four countries - and while some of them have rapidly developing economies, others remain poor and still need international assistance.
Ex-Soviet Republics Discuss Oil, Trade
06.18.07 Associated Press By Aida Sultanova - Top diplomats from four ex-Soviet republics met in the Azerbaijani capital Monday on the first day of a two-day summit for a regional grouping seen as an attempt to counterbalance Russia's wide influence. The summit is the first for the organization called GUAM-Organization for Democracy and Economic Development since its four member countries - Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan and Moldova - agreed last year to deepen ties and cooperation. Officials have repeatedly denied that the organization is anti-Russian, but three of the four members have had serious trade or other disputes with Moscow, and Russia is deeply enmeshed in unresolved territorial disputes in two of the countries. The organization also has garnered public support from the United States and the European Union. Several of the member countries have also expressed impatience with the Commonwealth of Independent States. The CIS is a larger grouping of ex-Soviet republics that is dominated by Russia. "Organizations are viable when they are founded on common values, on a mutual vision, on common principles. That's what sets GUAM apart from the CIS, and to those experts who would say otherwise, I would advise them to look at the common principles, the goals and the tasks that the CIS has put forth and look at .... those of GUAM," Georgian Foreign Minister Gela Bezhuashvili told reporters in Baku. Azerbaijani energy minister Natiq Aliev, meanwhile, highlighted efforts to set up a multinational consortium to extend the Odessa-Brody crude oil pipeline through Ukraine to bring Caspian Sea oil to a refinery in Plock, Poland and on to the Baltic Sea port of Gdansk. Aliev said the consortium overseeing the pipeline extension, which would provide another outlet for European-bound, Caspian Sea oil to bypass Russia, should also concern itself with the best way to get refined oil products to European and other markets. Azerbaijan has some of the largest oil reserves in the former Soviet Union; much of the oil pumped from its Caspian Sea fields now travels via a pipeline through Georgia and across Turkey to the Mediterranean port of Ceyhan. "Right now the Odessa-Brody project needs Azerbaijani oil, but for us, the main thing is the conditions by which this can be realized; that is, what can the Odessa-Brody company offer us so that it is advantageous for us not to sell oil on the Black Sea markets but to send it directly to Eastern Europe," Aliev said. "What attracts us to Odessa-Brody? There are political interests, but it's necessary that that coincides with economic (interests)," he said. Presidents of the four countries are slated to meet on Tuesday, along with presidents from Poland and Lithuania, where interest in the Odessa-Brody pipeline is also high and distrust of Moscow remains strong Wednesday, June 13, 2007
Lukoil wins Turkmen treble
Azerbaijan to build new Caspian pipeline from Guneshli field
06/09/2007 RIA Novosti - Azerbaijan's SOCAR state-owned oil company plans to lay a new underwater gas pipeline from the Guneshli field in the Caspian Sea basin, the company's press service said Friday.
Energy Summit to take place in Vilnius
18 Jun 2007 APA-Economics - The GUAM Summit will mainly discuss Odessa-Brody pipeline project agreed by Ukraine, Poland, Lithuania, Georgia and Azerbaijan at Krakow Summit, Poland. Azerbaijani Energy Minister Natig Aliyev said each party wants to take a particular role in this project. “It has not yet agreed how the parties will participate in this project. Azerbaijan will be represented by the State Oil Company (SOCAR) in the project,” he noted. Natig Aliyev added that Vilnius will host the Energy Summit in September. “Odessa-Brody pipeline project will be reviewed at the Vilnius Summit. These countries take interest in our oil only at present. Likely, our gas will interest them in the nearest future,” he concluded. /APA-Economics/
World Bank energy mission to visit Azerbaijan
Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan to transport 1 million barrels of oil per day next
year
Total capacity of power plants to reach 10,000 MWe in Azerbaijan
Baku to host Azerbaijan-Germany energy forum
Guneshli Field has 31 operational gas wells
Thursday, June 21, 2007
Israel's Oil Refineries Ltd to export SOCAR oil installment
Saturday, June 02, 2007
BP restarts Shah Deniz well
29 May 2007 - Upstream OnLine - BP has fixed problems at one of its two gas producing wells at the Azeri Shah-Deniz field and hopes to produce 2.7 billion cubic metres of gas this year - almost half its initial estimates, the company said today. BP had to halt output at the $4 billion project twice after its launch in December due to high pressure at the first producing well. Its partner in the project, Azeri state company Socar, has said the field would produce around 3 Bcm in 2007 instead of the planned 5 bcm due to problems. The setbacks have dashed the hopes of Georgia and Turkey to buy more Azeri gas this year to cut their reliance on Russia. Shah-Deniz resumed production after the second well was launched in February. "We have repaired Shah-Deniz's first well, which was drilled in December and had problems with pressure," Reuters quoted Bill Schrader, the head of BP in Azerbaijan, as saying. He said total output from the two wells now amounted to 5.2 million cubic metres a day. BP and the field's other operator, Norway's Statoil , plan to export gas from Shah-Deniz to Turkey via Georgia along the $1 billion Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum pipeline. Schrader said the third well, initially planned to be launched in March, would start in the next two weeks, while the fourth was expected in the third quarter. Shah-Deniz's shareholders also include Russia's Lukoil, France's Total and Iranian and Turkish state oil companies.
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